
nationalgeographic.com
Arctic Melting Fast; May Swamp U.S. Coasts by 2099
Scientists have determined that the ice in Greenland and the Arctic is melting
so rapidly that much of it could be gone by the end of the century.
The results could be catastrophic
for polar people and animals, while low-lying lands as far away as Florida could
be
inundated by rising sea levels.
Brian Handwerk
National Geographic News
November 9, 2004

NASA MODIS Land Rapid Response Team
Greenland's massive ice sheet has lost nearly 100 gigatons of ice annually
recently, much of it in low-elevation regions
along the continent's southeastern coast,
including the southern tip.
ScienceDaily.com
10/23/06
Global Climate
Change:
A Plea for Dialogue, Prudence,
and the Common Good
A Statement of the United
States Conference of Catholic Bishops
The text for Global Climate Change: A Plea for Dialogue, Prudence, and
the Common Good originated from the Domestic and International Policy
Committees and was prepared in consultation with the bishops' Committee on
Doctrine and the Committee on Science and Human Values. The document was
approved for publication by the full body of United States Catholic bishops
at their June 2001 General Meeting and has been authorized by the
undersigned.
Msgr. William P. Fay
General Secretary
USCCB
Copyright © 2001, United States Conference of Catholic Bishops, Inc.,
Washington, D.C. All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced
or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical,
including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage and
retrieval system, without permission in writing from the copyright holder.
Scripture texts used in this work are taken from the New American Bible,
copyright © 1991, 1986, and 1970 by the Confraternity of Christian Doctrine,
Washington, D.C. 20017 and are used by permission of the copyright owner.
All rights reserved.
To order Global Climate Change in its official published format,
contact USCCB Publishing Services, 800-235-8722 (in the Washington
metropolitan area or from outside the United States, 202-722-8716). English:
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and handling; quantity discounts are available.

Contents
Introduction
Scientific Knowledge and the
Virtue of Prudence
Climate Change and Catholic
Social Teaching
The Universal Common Good
Stewardship of God's Creation and the Right to Economic Initiative and
Private Property
Protecting the Environment for Future Generations
Population and Authentic Development
Caring for the Poor and Issues of Equity
The Public Policy Debate and Future Directions
Conclusion
Sidebar: The Science of Global
Climate Change

As people of faith, we are
convinced that "the earth is the Lord's and all it holds" (Ps 24:1). Our
Creator has given us the gift of creation: the air we breathe, the water
that sustains life, the fruits of the land that nourish us, and the entire
web of life without which human life cannot flourish. All of this God
created and found "very good." We believe our response to global climate
change should be a sign of our respect for God's creation.
The continuing debate about how the United States is responding to questions
and challenges surrounding global climate change is a test and an
opportunity for our nation and the entire Catholic community. As bishops, we
are not scientists or public policymakers. We enter this debate not to
embrace a particular treaty, nor to urge particular technical solutions, but
to call for a different kind of national discussion. Much of the debate on
global climate change seems polarized and partisan. Science is too often
used as a weapon, not as a source of wisdom. Various interests use the
airwaves and political process to minimize or exaggerate the challenges we
face. The search for the common good and the voices of poor people and poor
countries sometimes are neglected.
At its core, global climate change is not about economic theory or political
platforms, nor about partisan advantage or interest group pressures. It is
about the future of God's creation and the one human family. It is about
protecting both "the human environment" and the natural environment.1
It is about our human stewardship of God's creation and our responsibility
to those who come after us. With these reflections, we seek to offer a word
of caution and a plea for genuine dialogue as the United States and other
nations face decisions about how best to respond to the challenges of global
climate change.
The dialogue and our response to the challenge of climate change must be
rooted in the virtue of prudence. While some uncertainty remains, most
experts agree that something significant is happening to the atmosphere.
Human behavior and activity are, according to the most recent findings of
the international scientific bodies charged with assessing climate change,
contributing to a warming of the earth's climate. Although debate continues
about the extent and impact of this warming, it could be quite serious (see
the sidebar "The Science of Global Climate Change"). Consequently, it seems
prudent not only to continue to research and monitor this phenomenon, but to
take steps now to mitigate possible negative effects in the future.
As Catholic bishops, we seek to offer a distinctively religious and moral
perspective to what is necessarily a complicated scientific, economic, and
political discussion. Ethical questions lie at the heart of the challenges
facing us. John Paul II insists, "We face a fundamental question which can
be described as both ethical and ecological. How can accelerated development
be prevented from turning against man? How can one prevent disasters that
destroy the environment and threaten all forms of life, and how can the
negative consequences that have already occurred be remedied?"2
Because of the blessings God has bestowed on our nation and the power it
possesses, the United States bears a special responsibility in its
stewardship of God's creation to shape responses that serve the entire human
family. As pastors, teachers, and citizens, we bishops seek to contribute to
our national dialogue by examining the ethical implications of climate
change. We offer some themes from Catholic social teaching that could help
to shape this dialogue, and we suggest some directions for the debate and
public policy decisions that face us. We do so with great respect for the
work of the scientists, diplomats, business and union representatives,
developers of new technologies, environmental leaders, and policymakers who
have been struggling with the difficult questions of climate change for many
years.
While our own growing awareness of this problem has come in part from
scientific research and the public debate about the human contribution to
climate change, we are also responding to the appeals of the Church in other
parts of the world. Along with Pope John Paul II, church leaders in
developing countries—who fear that affluent nations will mute their voices
and ignore their needs—have expressed their concerns about how this global
challenge will affect their people and their environment. We also hear the
call of Catholic youth and other young people to protect the environment.
Therefore, we especially want to focus on the needs of the poor, the weak,
and the vulnerable in a debate often dominated by more powerful interests.
Inaction and inadequate or misguided responses to climate change will likely
place even greater burdens on already desperately poor peoples. Action to
mitigate global climate change must be built upon a foundation of social and
economic justice that does not put the poor at greater risk or place
disproportionate and unfair burdens on developing nations.
As Catholic bishops, we make
no independent judgment on the plausibility of "global warming." Rather, we
accept the consensus findings of so many scientists and the conclusions of
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as a basis for
continued research and prudent action (see the sidebar: The Science of
Global Climate Change). Scientists engaged in this research consistently
acknowledge the difficulties of accurate measurement and forecasting. Models
of measurement evolve and vary in reliability. Researchers and advocates on
all sides of the issue often have stakes in policy outcomes, as do advocates
of various courses of public policy. News reports can oversimplify findings
or focus on controversy rather than areas of consensus. Accordingly,
interpretation of scientific data and conclusions in public discussion can
be difficult and contentious matters.
Responsible scientific research is always careful to recognize uncertainty
and is modest in its claims. Yet over the past few decades, the evidence of
global climate change and the emerging scientific consensus about the human
impact on this process have led many governments to reach the conclusion
that they need to invest time, money, and political will to address the
problem through collective international action.
The virtue of prudence is paramount in addressing climate change. This
virtue is not only a necessary one for individuals in leading morally good
lives, but is also vital to the moral health of the larger community.
Prudence is intelligence applied to our actions. It allows us to discern
what constitutes the common good in a given situation. Prudence requires a
deliberate and reflective process that aids in the shaping of the
community's conscience. Prudence not only helps us identify the principles
at stake in a given issue, but also moves us to adopt courses of action to
protect the common good. Prudence is not, as popularly thought, simply a
cautious and safe approach to decisions. Rather, it is a thoughtful,
deliberate, and reasoned basis for taking or avoiding action to achieve a
moral good.
In facing climate change, what we already know requires a response; it
cannot be easily dismissed. Significant levels of scientific consensus—even
in a situation with less than full certainty, where the consequences of not
acting are serious—justifies, indeed can obligate, our taking action
intended to avert potential dangers. In other words, if enough evidence
indicates that the present course of action could jeopardize humankind's
well-being, prudence dictates taking mitigating or preventative action.
This responsibility weighs more heavily upon those with the power to act
because the threats are often greatest for those who lack similar power,
namely, vulnerable poor populations, as well as future generations.
According to reports of the IPCC, significant delays in addressing climate
change may compound the problem and make future remedies more difficult,
painful, and costly. On the other hand, the impact of prudent actions today
can potentially improve the situation over time, avoiding more sweeping
action in the future.
God has endowed humanity
with reason and ingenuity that distinguish us from other creatures.
Ingenuity and creativity have enabled us to make remarkable advances and can
help us address the problem of global climate change; however, we have not
always used these endowments wisely. Past actions have produced both good
works and harmful ones, as well as unforseen or unintended consequences. Now
we face two central moral questions:
- How are we to fulfill God's
call to be stewards of creation in an age when we may have the capacity to
alter that creation significantly, and perhaps irrevocably?
- How can we as a "family of
nations" exercise stewardship in a way that respects and protects the
integrity of God's creation and provides for the common good, as well as for
economic and social progress based on justice?
Catholic social teaching
provides several themes and values that can help answer these questions.
The Universal Common Good
Global climate is by its very nature a part of the planetary commons. The
earth's atmosphere encompasses all people, creatures, and habitats. The
melting of ice sheets and glaciers, the destruction of rain forests, and the
pollution of water in one place can have environmental impacts elsewhere. As
Pope John Paul II has said, "We cannot interfere in one area of the
ecosystem without paying due attention both to the consequences of such
interference in other areas and to the well being of future generations."3
Responses to global climate change should reflect our interdependence and
common responsibility for the future of our planet. Individual nations must
measure their own self-interest against the greater common good and
contribute equitably to global solutions.
Stewardship of God's Creation and the Right to Economic Initiative and
Private Property
Freedom and the capacity for moral decision making are central to what it
means to be human. Stewardship—defined in this case as the ability to
exercise moral responsibility to care for the environment—requires freedom
to act. Significant aspects of this stewardship include the right to private
initiative, the ownership of property, and the exercise of responsible
freedom in the economic sector. Stewardship requires a careful protection of
the environment and calls us to use our intelligence "to discover the
earth's productive potential and the many different ways in which human
needs can be satisfied."4
We believe economic freedom, initiative, and creativity are essential to help
our nation find effective ways to address climate change. The United States'
history of economic, technological innovation, and entrepreneurship invites
us to move beyond status quo responses to this challenge. In addition, the
right to private property is matched by the responsibility to use what we
own to serve the common good. Our Catholic tradition speaks of a "social
mortgage" on property and, in this context, calls us to be good stewards of
the earth.5
It also calls us to use the gifts we have been given to protect human life and
dignity, and to exercise our care for God's creation.
True stewardship requires changes in human actions—both in moral behavior and
technical advancement. Our religious tradition has always urged restraint
and moderation in the use of material goods, so we must not allow our desire
to possess more material things to overtake our concern for the basic needs
of people and the environment. Pope John Paul II has linked protecting the
environment to "authentic human ecology," which can overcome "structures of
sin" and which promotes both human dignity and respect for creation.6
Technological innovation and entrepreneurship can help make possible options
that can lead us to a more environmentally benign energy path. Changes in
lifestyle based on traditional moral virtues can ease the way to a
sustainable and equitable world economy in which sacrifice will no longer be
an unpopular concept. For many of us, a life less focused on material gain
may remind us that we are more than what we have. Rejecting the false
promises of excessive or conspicuous consumption can even allow more time
for family, friends, and civic responsibilities. A renewed sense of
sacrifice and restraint could make an essential contribution to addressing
global climate change.
Protecting the Environment for Future Generations
The common good calls us to extend our concern to future generations. Climate
change poses the question "What does our generation owe to generations yet
unborn?" As Pope John Paul II has written, "there is an order in the
universe which must be respected, and . . . the human person, endowed with
the capability of choosing freely, has a grave responsibility to preserve
this order for the well-being of future generations."7
Passing along the problem of global climate change to future generations as a
result of our delay, indecision, or self-interest would be easy. But we
simply cannot leave this problem for the children of tomorrow. As stewards
of their heritage, we have an obligation to respect their dignity and to
pass on their natural inheritance, so that their lives are protected and, if
possible, made better than our own.
Population and Authentic Development
Population and climate change should be addressed from the broader perspective
of a concern for protecting human life, caring for the environment, and
respecting cultural norms and the religious faith and moral values of
peoples. Population is not simply about statistics. Behind every demographic
number is a precious and irreplaceable human life whose human dignity must
be respected.
The global climate change debate cannot become just another opportunity for
some groups—usually affluent advocates from the developed nations—to blame
the problem on population growth in poor countries. Historically, the
industrialized countries have emitted more greenhouse gases that warm the
climate than have the developing countries. Affluent nations such as our own
have to acknowledge the impact of voracious consumerism instead of simply
calling for population and emissions controls from people in poorer nations.
A more responsible approach to population issues is the promotion of
"authentic development," which represents a balanced view of human progress
and includes respect for nature and social well-being.8
Development policies that seek to reduce poverty with an emphasis on
improved education and social conditions for women are far more effective
than usual population reduction programs and far more respectful of women's
dignity.9
We should promote a respect for nature that encourages policies fostering
natural family planning and the education of women and men rather than
coercive measures of population control or government incentives for birth
control that violate local cultural and religious norms.
Caring for the Poor and Issues of Equity
Working for the common good requires us to promote the flourishing of all
human life and all of God's creation. In a special way, the common good
requires solidarity with the poor who are often without the resources to
face many problems, including the potential impacts of climate change. Our
obligations to the one human family stretch across space and time. They tie
us to the poor in our midst and across the globe, as well as to future
generations. The commandment to love our neighbor invites us to consider the
poor and marginalized of other nations as true brothers and sisters who
share with us the one table of life intended by God for the enjoyment of
all.
All nations share the responsibility to address the problem of global climate
change. But historically the industrial economies have been responsible for
the highest emissions of greenhouse gases that scientists suggest are
causing the warming trend. Also, significant wealth, technological
sophistication, and entrepreneurial creativity give these nations a greater
capacity to find useful responses to this problem. To avoid greater impact,
energy resource adjustments must be made both in the policies of richer
countries and in the development paths of poorer ones.
Most people will agree that while the current use of fossil fuels has fostered
and continues to foster substantial economic growth, development, and
benefits for many, there is a legitimate concern that as developing
countries improve their economies and emit more greenhouse gases, they will
need technological help to mitigate further atmospheric environmental harm.
Many of the poor in these countries live in degrading and desperate
situations that often lead them to adopt environmentally harmful
agricultural and industrial practices. In many cases, the heavy debt
burdens, lack of trade opportunities, and economic inequities in the global
market add to the environmental strains of the poorer countries. Developing
countries have a right to economic development that can help lift people out
of dire poverty. Wealthier industrialized nations have the resources,
know-how, and entrepreneurship to produce more efficient cars and cleaner
industries. These countries need to share these emerging technologies with
the less-developed countries and assume more of the financial responsibility
that would enable poorer countries to afford them. This would help
developing countries adopt energy-efficient technologies more rapidly while
still sustaining healthy economic growth and development.10
Industries from the developed countries operating in developing nations
should exercise a leadership role in preserving the environment.
No strategy to confront global climate change will succeed without the
leadership and participation of the United States and other industrial
nations. But any successful strategy must also reflect the genuine
participation and concerns of those most affected and least able to bear the
burdens. Developing and poorer nations must have a genuine place at the
negotiating table. Genuine participation for those most affected is a moral
and political necessity for advancing the common good.
Catholic social teaching
calls for bold and generous action on behalf of the common good.
"Interdependence," as Pope John Paul II has written, "must be transformed
into solidarity. . . . Surmounting every type of
imperialism and determination to preserve their own hegemony, the
stronger and richer nations must have a sense of moral responsibility
for the other nations, so that a real international system may be
established which will rest on the foundation of the equality of all
peoples and on the necessary respect for their legitimate differences."11
The common good is built up or diminished by the quality of public debate.
With its scientific, technological, economic, political, diplomatic, and
religious dimensions, the challenge of global climate change may be a basic
test of our democratic processes and political institutions. We respect the
inquiry and dialogue which has been carried forward by a wide variety of
scientists, diplomats, policy makers, and advocates, not only in the United
States but around the world. These efforts should not be demeaned or
distorted by disinformation or exaggeration. Serious dialogue should not be
jeopardized by public relations tactics that fan fears or pit nations
against one another. Leaders in every sector should seek to build a
scientifically based consensus for the common good; avoid merely
representing their own particular interests, industries, or movements; and
act responsibly to protect future generations and the weak.
In the past decade, a continuing process of international diplomacy has led
to agreements on principles and increasingly on procedures. In 1992, more
than 160 nations, including the United States, ratified the first
international treaty on global climate change at Earth Summit in Rio de
Janeiro, Brazil, which was known as the United Nations Framework Convention
on Climate Change (UNFCCC). In 1997, parties to the UNFCCC including the
United States negotiated the Kyoto Protocol, which established mandatory
emission reduction targets, market-based procedures for meeting those
targets, and timetables for industrialized nations.
Without endorsing the specifics of these agreements and processes, we
Catholic bishops acknowledge the development of these international
negotiations and hope they and other future efforts can lead to just and
effective progress. However, serious deliberations must continue to bring
about prudent and effective actions to ensure equity among nations.
As an act of solidarity and in the interest of the common good, the United
States should lead the developed nations in contributing to the sustainable
economic development of poorer nations and to help build their capacity to
ease climate change. Since our country's involvement is key to any
resolution of these concerns, we call on our people and government to
recognize the seriousness of the global warming threat and to develop
effective policies that will diminish the possible consequences of global
climate change. We encourage citizens to become informed participants in
this important public debate. The measures we take today may not greatly
moderate climate change in the near future, but they could make a
significant difference for our descendants.
We also hope that the United States will continue to undertake reasonable
and effective initiatives for energy conservation and the development of
alternate renewable and clean-energy resources. New technologies and
innovations can help meet this challenge. While more needs to be done to
reduce air pollution, through the use of improved technologies and
environmental entrepreneurship, the United States has made significant
environmental gains over the last several decades. Our hope is that these
technologies along with other resources can be shared with developing
countries.
Within the United States, public policy should assist industrial sectors and
workers especially impacted by climate change policies, and it should offer
incentives to corporations to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and assistance
to workers affected by these policies.
We encourage all parties to adopt an attitude of candor, conciliation, and
prudence in response to serious, complex, and uncertain challenges. We hope
the continuing dialogue within and among the diverse disciplines of science,
economics, politics, and diplomacy will be guided by fundamental moral
values: the universal common good, respect for God's creation, an option for
the poor, and a sense of intergenerational obligation. Since religious
values can enrich public discussion, this challenge offers opportunities for
interfaith and ecumenical conversation and cooperation.
Finally, we wish to emphasize the need for personal conversion and
responsibility. In our pastoral reflection Renewing the Earth, we
wrote the following:
Grateful for the gift of
creation . . . we invite Catholics and men and women of good will in every
walk of life to consider with us the moral issues raised by the
environmental crisis. . . . These are matters of powerful urgency and major
consequence. They constitute an exceptional call to conversion. As
individuals, as institutions, as a people, we need a change of heart to
preserve and protect the planet for our children and for generations yet
unborn.12
Each of us should carefully
consider our choices and lifestyles. We live in a culture that prizes the
consumption of material goods. While the poor often have too little, many of
us can be easily caught up in a frenzy of wanting more and more—a bigger
home, a larger car, etc. Even though energy resources literally fuel our
economy and provide a good quality of life, we need to ask about ways we can
conserve energy, prevent pollution, and live more simply.
Our national debate
over solutions to global climate change needs to move beyond the uses and
abuses of science, sixty-second ads, and exaggerated claims. Because this
issue touches so many people, as well as the planet itself, all parties need
to strive for a civil and constructive debate about U.S. decisions and
leadership in this area.
As people of religious faith, we bishops believe that the atmosphere that
supports life on earth is a God-given gift, one we must respect and protect.
It unites us as one human family. If we harm the atmosphere, we dishonor our
Creator and the gift of creation. The values of our faith call us to
humility, sacrifice, and a respect for life and the natural gifts God has
provided. Pope John Paul II reminds us in his statement The Ecological
Crisis: A Common Responsibility that "respect for life and for the
dignity of the human person extends also to the rest of creation, which is
called to join man in praising God."13 In that spirit of praise
and thanksgiving to God for the wonders of creation, we Catholic bishops
call for a civil dialogue and prudent and constructive action to protect
God's precious gift of the earth's atmosphere with a sense of genuine
solidarity and justice for all God's children.
Sidebar
The Science of Global Climate Change
The photographs from the Apollo missions show earth glowing in the stillness
of space like a blue-white opal on black velvet. Cool and beautiful, it
hurries along in the Sun's gravitational embrace. The earth is our home, our
whole wide world.
Our enfolding blanket of air, our atmosphere, is both the physical condition
for human community and its most compelling symbol. We all breathe the same
air. Guarding the integrity of the atmosphere—without which complex life
could not have evolved on this planet—seems like common sense. Yet a broad
consensus of modern science is that human activity is beginning to alter the
earth's atmospheric characteristics in serious, perhaps profound ways. For
the past century, researchers have been gathering and verifying data that
reveal an increase in the global average temperature. Until recently,
scientists could not say with great confidence whether or not this
phenomenon was in any way the result of human activity or entirely the
result of natural changes over time.
To deal with the difficulty of making precise measurements and arriving at
definite conclusions, the World Meteorological Organization and the United
Nations Environment Programme established the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) to seek a clear explanation of the causes and possible
impacts of this global climate change.14 Because of the large
number of scientists involved in the IPCC and its process of consultation,
its reports are considered widely as offering the most authoritative
scientific perspectives on the issue. IPCC's findings have met with
general—but because of remaining uncertainties, not complete—agreement
within the wider scientific community.
In 1996, the IPCC issued its Second Assessment Reports, which summarized the
current state of knowledge. The first of these reports concluded that "the
balance of evidence suggests that there is a discernible human influence on
global climate."15 The Third Assessment Reports, approved in
early 2001, found even stronger evidence and concluded, "most of the
observed warming over the last 50 years is likely to have been due to the
[human-induced] increase in greenhouse gas concentrations" (italics
added).16
The IPCC offers convincing evidence that there exists if not a clear and
present danger then a clear and future one, and that coming changes will
affect all aspects of the environment and societal well-being. Based on
measurements taken over both land and sea, the global average surface-air
temperature has increased by about one degree Fahrenheit since 1860,
building up as the Industrial Revolution was hitting full stride. While this
is hardly a frightening increase for a particular geographic location, the
temperature change is global in extent, so one must read it against the
background of the earth's average temperature during historic times.
According to IPCC, the rate and duration of warming in the twentieth century
appears to be the largest in the last one thousand years. The twentieth
century also experienced precipitation increases in mid- and high-northern
latitudes; drier conditions in the subtropics; decreases in snow cover,
mountain glaciers, and Arctic sea ice; and a rise of four to eight inches in
mean sea level.17
The "greenhouse effect," though complex in detail, is simple enough in
outline. Not considering the internal heating due to radioactive decay and
volcanism, the earth draws its thermal energy from the Sun. Atmospheric
gases form a protective cover that makes our planet hospitable to life,
transmitting visible light, blocking out harmful high-energy radiation like
ultraviolet rays, and keeping temperatures comfortable by moderating the
escape of heat into space. However, the precise mix of these gases is quite
delicate, and changing that mix alters the atmosphere's properties. An
increase in the relative abundance of the greenhouse gases (carbon dioxide,
methane, chlorofluorocarbons, tropospheric ozone, and nitrous oxide) causes
the earth to trap more of the Sun's heat, resulting in what is called
"global warming." Since the beginning of the industrial period, the IPCC
reports, the concentration of the principal greenhouse gas, carbon dioxide,
has increased by 30 percent and is now greater than at any time in the past
20 million years.18 The presence of methane (150 percent
increase) and nitrous oxide (16 percent increase) is also growing. The
result is the small but alarming temperature rise science has detected.19
What causes greenhouse gases to accumulate in the atmosphere? Emissions from
cars and trucks, industry and electric plants, and businesses and homes are
the largest part of the answer, although other factors such as deforestation
contribute. The Industrial Revolution was built on furnaces and engines
burning fossil fuels (coal, natural gas, oil, and such derived products as
gasoline and heating oil). These fossil fuels now power the U.S. and global
economy. Although some of the smoke particles and other pollutants (such as
sulfur dioxide) now streaming from chimneys and tailpipes can actually cool
the earth if they take an aerosol form, the great bulk of our emissions are
contributing a warming influence. Reflecting upon studies completed since
its last report in 1996, the IPCC says, "There is new and stronger evidence
that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to
human activities."20
Whatever the extent, severity, or geographical distribution of global
warming impacts, the problem is expected to disproportionately affect the
poor, the vulnerable, and generations yet unborn. Projected sea level rises
could impact low-lying coastal areas in densely populated nations of the
developing world. Storms are most likely to strain the fragile housing
infrastructure of the poorest nations. The migration of diseases could
further challenge the presently inadequate health care systems of these same
nations. Droughts or floods, it is feared, will afflict regions already too
often hit by famine, hunger, and malnutrition. Because the number of days
with high heat and humidity are likely to increase, heat stress impacts will
also increase, especially among the elderly, the sick, children, and the
poor.21
The scientific reports of the IPCC portray the long-term challenge global
climate change poses. Its findings, while not complete, are widely accepted
in the scientific community. In June 2001, the National Academy of Sciences
released a report, prepared at the request of President Bush, summarizing a
prestigious panel's understanding of global climate change and an assessment
of the work of the International Panel on Climate Change. The panel said
that "greenhouse gases are accumulating in the Earth's atmosphere as a
result of human activities. . . ." It also found that "we cannot rule out
that some significant part of these changes are also a reflection of natural
variability. . . . Because there is considerable uncertainty in current
understanding of how the climate system varies naturally and reacts to
emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols, current estimates of the
magnitude of future warming should be regarded as tentative and subject to
future adjustments (either upward or downward). . . ." The report noted that
while the full implications of climate change remain unknown, the panel
"generally agrees with the assessment of human-caused change presented in
the IPCC Working Group I scientific report."22
- John Paul II, On the
Hundredth Anniversary of Rerum Novarum (Centesimus Annus) (Washington,
D.C.: United States Conference of Catholic Bishops, 1991), no. 38.
- John Paul II,
"International Solidarity Needed to Safeguard Environment," Address by the
Holy Father to the European Bureau for the Environment, L'Osservatore
Romano (June 26, 1996).
- John Paul II, The
Ecological Crisis: A Common Responsibility
(Washington, D.C.: United States Conference of Catholic Bishops, 1990), no.
6.
- John Paul II, On the
Hundredth Anniversary of Rerum Novarum (Centesimus Annus) (Washington,
D.C.: United States Conference of Catholic Bishops, 1991), no. 32.
- John Paul II, On Social
Concern (Sollicitudo Rei Socialis)
(Washington, D.C.: United States Conference of Catholic Bishops, 1988), no.
42.
- John Paul II, On the
Hundredth Anniversary of Rerum Novarum, no. 38.
- John Paul II, "The
Exploitation of the Environment Threatens the Entire Human Race," address to
the Vatican symposium on the environment (1990), in
Ecology and Faith: The Writings of Pope John Paul II, ed. Sr. Ancilla
Dent, OSB (Berkhamsted, England: Arthur James, 1997), 12.
- John Paul II, On Social
Concern, ch. four. This chapter of the encyclical gives a more complete
definition of the concept of authentic development.
- Second Vatican Council,
Pastoral Constitution on the Church in the Modern World (Gaudium et Spes),
nos. 50-51, in Austin Flannery, ed.,
Vatican Council II: The Conciliar and Post Conciliar Documents, new rev.
ed., 1st vol. (Northport, N.Y.: Costello Publishing, 1996).
- See also treatment of this
topic in Stewardship: A Disciple's Response (Washington, D.C.: United
States Conference of Catholic Bishops, 1993), 27.
- Ibid., no. 39.
- United States Conference of
Catholic Bishops, Renewing the Earth: An Invitation to Reflection and
Action on Environment in Light of Catholic Social Teaching (Washington,
D.C.: United States Conference of Catholic Bishops, 1992), 3. See also
treatment of this theme in Stewardship: A Disciple's Response, 46.
- John Paul II, The
Ecological Crisis, no. 16.
- To date, the IPCC's work
represents the most authoritative estimates and prognosis of current and
future climate change data. This statement utilizes the following Second and
Third Assessment Reports by the IPCC:
1996a: Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change. Contribution
of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change, eds. J. T. Houghton, L. G. Meira Filho, B. A.
Callander, N. Harris, A. Kattenberg, and K. Maskell (Cambridge and New York:
Cambridge University Press).
1996b: Climate Change 1995: Impacts, Adaptations and Mitigation of
Climate Change: Scientific-Technical Analyses. Contribution of Working Group
II to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change, eds. R. T. Watson, M. C. Zinyowera, and R. H. Moss (Cambridge
and New York: Cambridge University Press).
1996c: Climate Change 1995: Economic and Social Dimensions of Climate
Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Second Assessment Report of
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, eds. J. P. Bruce, Hoesund
Kee, and E. F. Haites (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press).
1996d: The IPCC Second Assessment Synthesis of Scientific-Technical
Information Relevant to Interpreting Article 2 of the UN Framework
Convention on Climate Change (Geneva: World Meteorological
Organization/United Nations Environment Programme).
2001a: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, eds. J. T.
Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. van der Linden, X. Dai, K.
Maskell, and C. Johnson (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University
Press).
2001b: Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability,
eds. J. McCarthy, O. Canziani, N. Leary, D. Dokken, and K. White (Cambridge
and New York: Cambridge University Press).
2001c: Climate Change 2001: Mitigation, eds. O. Davidson, B. Metz, R.
Swart, and J. Pan (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press).
- IPCC, 1996a, 5.
- IPCC, Climate Change 2001:
The Scientific Basis, 10.
- Ibid., ch. two.
- Ibid., 7.
- Ibid.
- Ibid., 10.
- IPCC, Climate Change 2001:
Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability.
- National Academy of
Science, Climate Change Science: An Analysis of Some Key Questions
(Washington, D.C., June 7, 2001).
Office of Social Development & World Peace
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